Global Sugar Market Prices 2025: Complete Analysis and Forecast for International Buyers
- writer
- Feb 1, 2023
- 17 min read
Updated: Oct 30, 2025
Last Updated: October 26, 2025
Global sugar prices have experienced significant volatility throughout 2025, with raw sugar falling to 14.97 cents per pound on October 24, 2025, down 32% compared to the same time last year. For international buyers sourcing from major exporters like Brazil, understanding current price dynamics, production trends, and market forecasts is essential for strategic procurement decisions.
This comprehensive analysis breaks down the factors driving global sugar market prices in 2025, examines Brazilian export pricing across different grades, and provides actionable insights for buyers navigating today's complex sugar market. Whether you're a food manufacturer sourcing refined ICUMSA 45 or a trader exploring raw VHP sugar, this guide delivers the market intelligence you need to optimize your import strategy.
By the end of this article, you'll understand current benchmark prices, key factors affecting sugar costs, regional price comparisons, and strategic timing recommendations for your purchases.
In This Article:
Current Global Sugar Market Overview
The global sugar market in 2025 has transitioned from a supply deficit in 2024/25 to an anticipated surplus in 2025/26. According to BMI Group projections, the global 2025/26 sugar surplus could reach 10.5 MMT, while Covrig Analytics forecasts a surplus of 4.1 MMT. This dramatic shift has fundamentally altered price dynamics in international sugar markets.
Brazil's Center-South region cumulative sugar output through September 2025 rose to 33.524 MMT, representing a modest 0.8% year-over-year increase. The USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service predicts Brazil's 2025/26 sugar production will rise 2.3% year-over-year to reach a record 44.7 MMT. India anticipates substantial production recovery as well, with forecasts projecting a 25% increase to 35.3 MMT due to favorable monsoon rains and increased sugar acreage.
Thailand's 2025/26 sugar production is forecast to climb 2% year-over-year to 10.3 MMT according to USDA predictions, with Thai Sugar Miller Corp projecting production could increase by 5% to reach 10.5 MMT. This collective output increase from the world's major producers has exerted substantial downward pressure on international prices throughout 2025.
The USDA's bi-annual report released in May projected global 2025/26 sugar production would climb 4.7% year-over-year to a record 189.318 MMT, while global human sugar consumption would increase 1.4% to reach 177.921 MMT. This production growth substantially outpacing demand expansion explains the current favorable pricing environment for buyers.
For international buyers, the current market environment presents strategic opportunities. Lower prices combined with abundant supply from reliable origins like Brazil create favorable conditions for securing competitive contracts. Understanding regional pricing differences and timing purchases strategically remains crucial for maximizing value.
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Understanding Sugar Price Benchmarks: NY#11 and London#5
International sugar trading relies on two primary price benchmarks that serve as reference points for physical sugar contracts worldwide, both traded on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE).
New York Sugar #11 (ICE Futures)
The NY#11 contract is the world's most widely used benchmark for raw sugar pricing. This futures contract prices the physical delivery of raw cane sugar, free-on-board (FOB) at the vessel to a port within the country of origin. The contract specifies sugar with a polarization (sucrose content) of 96 degrees.
Brazilian raw sugar exports, including VHP (Very High Polarization) and VVHP grades, are typically priced with reference to NY#11 futures plus a premium or discount based on quality, origin, and delivery terms. As of late October 2025, NY#11 futures trade around 14.97 cents per pound, representing multi-year lows that create significant value opportunities for buyers.
The NY#11 benchmark reflects multiple factors including Brazilian production levels, Indian export policies, crude oil prices (which affect ethanol demand), currency fluctuations (particularly the Brazilian Real against the US Dollar), and global supply-demand dynamics.
London White Sugar #5 (ICE Futures Europe)
The London#5 contract serves as the global benchmark for refined white sugar. This contract prices refined sugar with a minimum polarization of 99.8 degrees, representing the highest quality refined sugar grades including ICUMSA 45.
Based on recent market data, London#5 futures currently trade in the range of $440-500 per metric ton. The premium of London#5 over NY#11 represents the refining margin and typically ranges from $70-120 per metric ton, though this spread can widen during supply disruptions or when raw sugar becomes scarce relative to refined sugar.
How Benchmarks Affect Your Contract Price
When negotiating sugar purchases, you'll typically see pricing structured as "NY#11 + premium" or "London#5 + premium/discount." The premium or discount reflects factors such as:
Quality specifications - Higher purity sugars command premiums
Origin reputation - Brazilian sugar often trades at a premium due to consistent quality
Delivery terms - FOB, CFR, or CIF pricing includes different cost components
Contract volume - Larger orders may secure better pricing
Payment terms - Letters of Credit vs cash payment affects pricing
Delivery timing - Near-term delivery may cost more during tight supply periods
Understanding these benchmarks allows you to evaluate supplier quotes effectively and identify competitive pricing in the market. Real-time benchmark prices are publicly available through commodity exchanges and financial data providers.
Brazilian Sugar Export Prices in 2025
Brazil maintains its position as the world's largest sugar exporter, accounting for approximately 45% of global sugar exports according to industry data. The country's Center-South region, which represents nearly 90% of Brazilian production, benefits from ideal growing conditions, advanced agricultural technology, and extensive logistics infrastructure through the Port of Santos.
Current Brazilian FOB Export Price Ranges
Brazilian sugar export prices vary significantly based on grade, quality specifications, and delivery terms. Here are typical FOB Santos price ranges for October 2025 based on current NY#11 and London#5 benchmarks:
ICUMSA 45 (Refined White Sugar)
FOB Santos: $420-460 per metric ton (reflecting current London#5 levels)
Premium over London#5: $0-20 per MT (depending on specifications)
Typical container load: 25-27 MT (20-foot container)
Minimum bulk order: 12,500 MT
ICUMSA 150 (Refined Sugar)
FOB Santos: $400-440 per metric ton
Discount to ICUMSA 45: $20-30 per MT
Applications: Industrial use, some food manufacturing
Minimum bulk order: 12,500 MT
VHP Raw Sugar (Polarization 98.5-99.2%)
FOB Santos: $350-380 per metric ton (NY#11 + premium)
Premium over NY#11: $15-35 per MT
Typical for refineries and industrial processors
Minimum bulk order: 12,500-25,000 MT
VVHP Raw Sugar (Polarization 99.3%+)
FOB Santos: $365-395 per metric ton
Premium over NY#11: $25-45 per MT
Higher quality suitable for direct consumption refining
Minimum bulk order: 12,500-25,000 MT
These prices represent typical market ranges based on current benchmark futures prices and can fluctuate based on contract specifics, delivery timing, and negotiated terms. Actual quoted prices should always be verified with suppliers and referenced against current futures prices.
Factors Affecting Brazilian Export Pricing
Several unique factors influence Brazilian sugar export prices beyond global benchmark movements:
Brazilian Real Exchange Rate - The BRL/USD exchange rate significantly impacts export competitiveness. A weaker Real makes Brazilian sugar more attractive to international buyers. Throughout 2025, Real volatility has ranged between approximately 4.90-5.40 BRL/USD, creating pricing opportunities for buyers monitoring currency movements.
Sugar-Ethanol Production Mix - Brazilian mills can shift production between sugar and ethanol based on relative profitability. The percentage of sugarcane crushed for sugar by Brazilian mills in the second half of September 2025 increased to 51.17% from 47.73% the same time last year, increasing sugar availability and moderating prices.
Crushing Season Timing - Brazil's main crushing season runs from April through December in the Center-South region. Early season (April-June) and late season (October-December) pricing can differ due to availability and quality variations.
Quality Consistency - Brazilian sugar benefits from a reputation for consistent quality, proper storage, and reliable supply chains. This quality premium typically adds $5-15 per MT compared to some competing origins.
Port Infrastructure - The Port of Santos handles the majority of Brazilian sugar exports with efficient loading facilities and experienced logistics providers. This infrastructure advantage helps contain logistics costs compared to some alternative origins.
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Key Factors Driving Global Sugar Prices in 2025
Multiple interconnected factors influence sugar prices in the international market. Understanding these dynamics helps buyers anticipate price movements and time purchases strategically.
Production Volumes and Weather Conditions
Global sugar production is the single largest determinant of international prices. The USDA forecast that global 2025/26 sugar production would climb 4.7% year-over-year to a record 189.318 MMT, substantially outpacing the 1.4% increase in global human sugar consumption to 177.921 MMT.
Brazil's record 44.7 MMT production forecast reflects improved growing conditions following 2024 droughts and wildfires that impacted the previous season. However, La Niña conditions expected in late 2025 and early 2026 could affect the 2026/27 crop if drought conditions return to key growing regions.
India's production recovery has been equally significant, with the USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service predicting India's 2025/26 sugar production would rise 25% year-over-year to 35.3 MMT due to favorable monsoon rains and increased sugar acreage. After two consecutive years of production constraints that limited exports, this recovery adds substantial supply to global markets.
Thailand's production rebound adds additional supply to global markets, with forecasts of production climbing 2% year-over-year to 10.3 MMT. Weather remains a critical variable, with typhoons and drought affecting Southeast Asian production volumes.
Currency Fluctuations: The Brazilian Real Impact
Currency movements create significant pricing volatility in sugar markets. The Brazilian Real's exchange rate against the US Dollar directly affects the competitiveness of Brazilian sugar exports.
When the Real weakens against the Dollar, Brazilian exporters can offer more competitive USD-denominated prices while maintaining profitability in local currency terms. Conversely, a strengthening Real can make Brazilian sugar less competitive versus Thai or Indian origins.
Throughout 2025, Real volatility has created price windows for strategic buyers monitoring currency markets. Buyers with flexibility in purchase timing can capitalize on favorable exchange rate movements to secure better pricing.
Crude Oil Prices and Ethanol Demand
Crude oil prices indirectly influence sugar prices through their impact on ethanol production economics. Higher oil prices make sugarcane ethanol more profitable, encouraging Brazilian mills to allocate more cane to ethanol production rather than sugar. This reduces sugar supply and supports higher sugar prices.
The relationship is particularly significant in Brazil, where mills possess flex capacity to adjust the sugar-ethanol production mix relatively quickly. When crude oil prices strengthen substantially, sugar prices often follow as markets anticipate reduced sugar output.
In 2025, moderate crude oil prices have supported the current sugar production bias, but any significant oil price spike could shift production incentives and tighten sugar supplies for 2026 deliveries.
Global Demand Trends
Sugar consumption continues to grow globally, with the USDA forecasting global 2025/26 human sugar consumption would increase 1.4% year-over-year to a record 177.921 MMT. This growth is driven primarily by population increases and rising incomes in developing economies across Asia and Africa, where the food service sector remains a key demand driver.
However, demand growth in high-income markets has plateaued due to health consciousness and the growing use of sugar alternatives. The longer-term impact of GLP-1 medications (like Ozempic) on sugar consumption remains uncertain, though significant effects are not expected until after 2026 when lower-cost alternatives become more widely available.
Trade Policies and Export Restrictions
Government policies significantly impact global sugar flows and pricing. India's export policies have been particularly influential in recent years, with the government restricting exports to ensure domestic supply and support ethanol production goals.
While India has shown signs of potentially allowing limited exports in 2025, policy uncertainty remains a factor. Any sudden changes in Indian export quotas can create price volatility as markets adjust supply expectations.
US sugar policy, including tariff-rate quotas (TRQ), affects pricing for sugar destined to the American market. Brazil holds the second-largest US TRQ allocation at approximately 156,000 metric tons raw value. Recent US policy changes have implemented a 10% ad valorem duty on both in-quota and over-quota sugar imports, modestly affecting landed costs for US buyers.
Regional Price Comparisons: Brazil vs Thailand vs India
International sugar buyers benefit from comparing pricing and value propositions across major exporting origins. While prices converge based on global benchmarks, quality, reliability, and logistics considerations create meaningful differences.
Brazil: Premium Quality, Reliable Supply
Brazilian sugar typically trades at a small premium to competing origins, justified by consistent quality standards, reliable production volumes, and sophisticated export infrastructure.
Advantages:
Consistent quality meeting international specifications
Year-round availability from Center-South production
Advanced port facilities ensuring efficient loading through Port of Santos
Transparent business practices and established trade relationships
Flexible production capacity responding to market needs
Price Position: Brazilian ICUMSA 45 typically prices $5-15 per MT above Thai equivalents and $10-20 per MT above Indian sugar (when Indian exports are permitted). This premium reflects reliability value and quality assurance that reduces buyer risk.
Thailand: Competitive Pricing, Proximity to Asian Markets
Thai sugar offers competitive pricing and logistical advantages for Asian buyers due to shorter shipping distances and established regional trade relationships.
Advantages:
Competitive pricing, often $5-15 per MT below Brazilian equivalents
Shorter transit times to Asian markets
Established quality standards
Growing production capacity with 2025/26 output forecast at 10.3-10.5 MMT
Considerations: Thai production can be affected by weather variability, and export volumes are smaller than Brazil's, potentially limiting availability for very large contracts.
India: Price Competitive but Policy-Dependent
Indian sugar pricing can be highly competitive when exports are permitted, but policy uncertainty creates supply reliability concerns for many international buyers.
Advantages:
Potentially lowest pricing when exports are unrestricted
Suitable quality for most industrial applications
Proximity to Middle East and Asian markets
Substantial production recovery forecast at 35.3 MMT for 2025/26
Considerations: Export restrictions have been common in recent years, creating supply uncertainty. When India does export, prices can be very competitive, but government policies may change with limited notice affecting contract fulfillment.
Value Analysis for Buyers
For buyers prioritizing reliability and quality consistency, Brazilian sugar's modest premium often represents good value by reducing supply chain risk and quality variation. Food manufacturers with strict specifications typically prefer Brazilian or Thai origins.
For buyers with greater flexibility and tolerance for supply uncertainty, monitoring Indian export policy can reveal opportunities for significant cost savings during periods when exports are unrestricted.
Large-volume buyers may benefit from dual-sourcing strategies that combine Brazilian supply reliability with opportunistic purchases from other origins when pricing is particularly attractive.
Seasonal Pricing Patterns: When to Buy for Best Value
Sugar markets exhibit seasonal patterns related to harvest cycles in major producing regions. Understanding these patterns helps buyers time purchases strategically.
Brazil's Crushing Season Impact (April-December)
Brazil's Center-South crushing season runs from April through December, with peak production occurring during May through September. Seasonal patterns include:
Early Season (April-June):
Initial supply coming to market
Prices can be volatile as markets assess crop size
Mills may offer attractive early contracts to secure sales
Quality is typically excellent as fresh crop enters storage
Mid-Season (July-September):
Peak production period with maximum availability
Typically the most liquid period for contracting
Competitive pricing due to abundant supply
Best time for large-volume purchases and multi-shipment contracts
Late Season (October-December):
Production declining as harvest concludes
Prices may firm as supply tightens
Quality remains good but availability decreases
Mills focus on fulfilling existing commitments
Inter-Harvest Period (January-March):
Limited new production (mostly from Northeast region)
Prices typically at seasonal peaks
Availability depends on inventory levels from previous harvest
Forward contracts for upcoming season available
Strategic Timing Recommendations
For immediate needs: Current market conditions in late October 2025, with prices at 14.97 cents per pound for raw sugar representing a 32% decline compared to the same time last year, present favorable buying opportunities. These multi-year lows create significant value compared to 2024 highs.
For future requirements (Q1-Q2 2026): Consider securing forward contracts during the current favorable pricing environment. While further price declines are possible if production forecasts increase, the risk/reward profile favors locking prices near current levels given that prices are already substantially below recent highs.
For annual contracts: Buyers with consistent year-round requirements may benefit from structured contracts that average prices across the crushing season, providing budget certainty while capturing seasonal variations.
Weather risk consideration: La Niña conditions forecast for late 2025 and early 2026 could affect Brazil's 2026/27 crop if drought returns. Buyers with mid-2026 or later delivery requirements should monitor weather developments through resources like UNICA's fortnightly reports and consider earlier purchasing if drought risks materialize.
2025-2026 Market Outlook and Price Forecast
The global sugar market outlook for the remainder of 2025 and 2026 indicates a period of relatively stable prices with a bearish bias, supported by improved supply conditions and modest demand growth.
Production Forecast Summary
Global Production: The USDA projects global 2025/26 sugar production at a record 189.318 MMT, up 4.7% year-over-year.
Brazil: Record production of 44.7 MMT projected by USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service, representing a 2.3% year-over-year increase. The percentage of sugarcane crushed for sugar has increased to over 51% compared to under 48% the previous year, supporting strong output.
India: Production rebounding to 35.3 MMT (25% increase) following favorable monsoons. Export potential represents significant improvement from restricted exports in prior years.
Thailand: Output increasing to 10.3 MMT according to USDA forecasts, with Thai Sugar Miller Corp projecting potentially 10.5 MMT.
Demand Outlook
Global sugar consumption forecast at 177.921 MMT for 2025/26, representing a 1.4% annual increase. Demand growth continues in developing economies, particularly in Asia and Africa, while high-income markets show flat to declining consumption due to health trends and sugar alternative adoption.
Price Forecasts
Based on current market fundamentals and analyst projections:
Remainder of 2025: Expect continued range-bound trading around 15.0-17.5 cents per pound for NY#11, with potential volatility around weather developments and policy changes but overall stability as markets digest improved supply outlook.
2026: Industry analysts project gradual price stabilization in the 16.0-18.5 cents per pound range for NY#11 futures as production surplus moderates from 2025 levels. Refined white sugar (London#5) forecasts show similar patterns with prices expected to average $460-510 per metric ton through 2026.
2027 and beyond: Gradual price stabilization expected around 17.5-18.5 cents per pound as global markets achieve better supply-demand balance.
Risk Factors That Could Change the Outlook
Several factors could disrupt baseline forecasts and create price volatility:
Weather Events: La Niña conditions forecast for late 2025/early 2026 could affect Brazilian crop development if drought intensifies. Indian monsoon patterns remain critical for that country's production. Any major weather disruptions in key producing regions would tighten supplies and support prices.
Policy Changes: Indian export policy remains unpredictable and could change quickly based on domestic considerations. Any renewed export restrictions would remove significant supply from global markets and support higher prices.
Currency Volatility: Significant strengthening of the Brazilian Real would reduce export competitiveness and could support prices. Political or economic instability affecting major producers could also create supply uncertainty.
Energy Prices: Substantial crude oil price increases would improve ethanol economics, potentially shifting Brazilian production away from sugar and tightening global supplies.
Demand Surprises: While gradual demand changes are forecast, any sudden shifts in consumption patterns or major policy changes affecting sugar consumption could alter market dynamics.
Strategic Implications for Buyers
The current market environment favors buyers with several strategic implications:
Near-term purchases benefit from favorable pricing: Current prices represent significant value compared to recent years, making immediate purchases attractive for buyers with storage capacity or imminent requirements.
Forward contracting provides price security: Buyers can lock in competitive prices for future deliveries, protecting against potential weather-related supply disruptions or policy changes that could support prices.
Supply reliability is high: Record production forecasts and multiple origin availability reduce supply chain risk, allowing buyers to negotiate favorable contract terms including delivery schedules and payment terms.
Quality competition is strong: Abundant supply creates competitive pressure among exporters, potentially allowing buyers to secure premium quality specifications without paying excessive premiums.
Strategic Buying Recommendations for International Sugar Buyers
Navigating the current sugar market requires strategic thinking about timing, sourcing, contracting, and risk management. Here are actionable recommendations for international buyers.
Capitalize on Current Favorable Pricing
With raw sugar prices at 14.97 cents per pound, down 32% from the same time last year, buyers face an attractive entry point. For organizations with storage capacity or predictable requirements extending into 2026, securing contracts at current levels locks in value before potential market corrections.
Consider multi-shipment contracts that spread deliveries across several months, capturing current low prices while maintaining inventory flexibility. This approach provides budget certainty and reduces the need for spot market purchases if prices rise unexpectedly.
Evaluate Origin Diversification
While Brazilian sugar offers reliability and consistent quality, consider dual-sourcing strategies that include alternative origins when pricing is particularly competitive. Thai sugar provides quality comparable to Brazilian for many applications at slightly lower costs, with logistics advantages for Asian destinations.
Monitor Indian export policy developments through official sources like the International Sugar Organization, as periods when exports are permitted can offer significant cost savings. However, maintain Brazilian or Thai supply relationships as primary sources to ensure reliability if Indian policy changes unexpectedly.
Structure Contracts for Flexibility and Protection
Well-structured contracts protect buyers while maintaining flexibility. Key provisions to negotiate include:
Price Mechanisms: Consider partial fixed-price contracts combined with index-linked pricing for portions of annual requirements. This approach provides budget certainty while maintaining some flexibility to benefit from further price declines.
Quality Specifications: Clearly specify quality parameters including ICUMSA color, moisture content, polarization, and any other critical specifications. Require SGS or equivalent third-party inspection to ensure specifications are met before shipment. Learn about quality standards
Delivery Terms: Negotiate clear Incoterms (FOB, CFR, CIF) with specific port designations and delivery windows. Include force majeure provisions that fairly allocate risk for circumstances beyond either party's control.
Payment Security: Letter of Credit remains standard for international sugar transactions. Negotiate LC terms that provide security while avoiding unnecessary costs. Learn about payment methods Established buyers with strong relationships may negotiate improved payment terms over time.
Monitor Market Indicators for Tactical Decisions
Stay informed about key market drivers that signal potential price movements:
Weather Reports: Monitor weather conditions in Brazil's Center-South region and Indian growing areas through meteorological services. Drought indicators, rainfall data, and temperature anomalies provide early warning of potential production impacts.
Currency Movements: Track BRL/USD exchange rates, as significant Real movements create pricing opportunities. A weakening Real makes Brazilian sugar more competitive and may create favorable buying windows.
Production Reports: Follow UNICA's bi-weekly crushing reports released during the Brazilian season. These reports provide actual production data that validates or challenges market forecasts.
Policy Developments: Monitor Indian government announcements regarding export policy and ethanol mandates. Policy changes often occur with limited notice and can significantly impact global supply dynamics.
Consider Value-Added Services and Logistics
Beyond base sugar pricing, evaluate the total landed cost including logistics, financing, and value-added services:
Logistics Optimization: For Asian destinations, Thai sugar's shorter transit time reduces working capital requirements and supply chain risk. For Middle East and African buyers, evaluate whether Brazilian or Indian origins offer better logistics economics.
Quality Assurance: Suppliers offering comprehensive pre-shipment inspection, documentation support, and quality guarantees reduce operational burdens and risk.
Financial Services: Some suppliers or trading partners offer financing solutions that improve cash flow, particularly valuable for smaller buyers or those in markets with higher capital costs.
Technical Support: Suppliers providing technical guidance on sugar specifications, application suitability, and regulatory compliance add value beyond commodity supply.
Frequently Asked Questions About Global Sugar Prices
What is the current global price for raw sugar?
As of October 24, 2025, raw sugar (NY#11) trades at 14.97 cents per pound, down 32% from the same time last year. Brazilian raw sugar FOB Santos typically adds a premium of $15-45 per metric ton depending on quality.
Why have sugar prices fallen in 2025?
Prices declined due to a shift from global supply deficit to surplus. The USDA projects global 2025/26 production at a record 189.318 MMT (up 4.7% year-over-year), while consumption increases only 1.4% to 177.921 MMT. Brazil, India, and Thailand all forecast increased output.
Is now a good time to buy sugar?
Current prices at multi-year lows represent favorable value. While further modest declines are possible, the risk/reward profile favors securing contracts near current levels. Multiple risk factors (weather, policy changes, currency volatility) could support price increases.
How do Brazilian sugar prices compare to competitors?
Brazilian ICUMSA 45 typically trades $5-15 per MT above Thai equivalents and $10-20 per MT above Indian sugar (when available). This premium reflects consistent quality, reliable supply, and superior infrastructure.
What factors could cause sugar prices to increase?
Key risks include: weather disruptions (La Niña drought), Indian export restrictions, crude oil price spikes improving ethanol economics, Brazilian Real strengthening significantly, or unexpected demand increases.
How does currency affect Brazilian sugar prices?
The BRL/USD exchange rate directly impacts competitiveness. A weaker Real allows lower USD-denominated prices while maintaining local profitability. Throughout 2025, Real volatility between 4.90-5.40 BRL/USD created pricing opportunities for strategic buyers.
Conclusion: Navigating the 2025 Sugar Market Successfully
The global sugar market in 2025 presents a buyer-favorable environment with raw sugar at 14.97 cents per pound, down 32% from last year. International buyers sourcing sugar from Brazil and other major origins face strategic opportunities to secure competitive contracts for both immediate and future requirements.
Key Takeaways:
Raw sugar prices at 14.97 cents per pound represent multi-year lows and significant value
Brazil's record 44.7 MMT production forecast ensures reliable supply through 2026
Brazilian sugar FOB pricing ranges from $350-460 per MT depending on grade
Global supply surplus of 2.8-10.5 MMT forecast for 2025/26 supports current pricing levels
Strategic buyers should secure contracts at current favorable pricing to protect against weather, policy, or currency-driven increases
Origin diversification including Brazilian, Thai, and opportunistic Indian purchases optimizes cost and reliability
The current market rewards proactive buyers who secure forward contracts, negotiate favorable terms, and maintain flexibility through diversified sourcing. While further modest declines remain possible, the risk/reward profile favors action over waiting.
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How to Import Sugar from Brazil: Complete Buyer's Guide - Step-by-step process covering supplier verification, payment security, documentation, and customs clearance.
ICUMSA 45 vs ICUMSA 150: Which Sugar Grade Do You Need? - Detailed comparison of refined sugar grades with application recommendations and pricing differences.
Brazilian Sugar Quality Standards and Specifications - Technical guide to ICUMSA ratings, polarization, moisture content, and other critical quality parameters.
Payment Methods for International Sugar Imports - Comprehensive overview of Letter of Credit, escrow services, and other secure payment mechanisms for sugar transactions.
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